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Zill was a producer and Bergman was series reporter for FRONTLINE's "Drug Wars"
series
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Globalization hit organized crime over the last decade and now is integral to
its most profitable business -- the international narcotics traffic. Once a
regional problem involving a customer base of a few million, and barely a
billion dollars in sales, the illegal drug industry is now a worldwide
enterprise with tens of millions of hard core consumers spending hundreds of
billions (see the chart) on opiates, cocaine and amphetamines and marijuana, as well as other
drugs.
The single largest marketplace for illegal drugs continues to be the
United States. Although the market has decreased dramatically since its heyday
in the mid-80's, close to thirteen million Americans still think nothing about
occasionally buying a gram of cocaine, a few hits of ecstasy or a quarter ounce
of weed to party with their friends on the weekends. A hard
core group (see the chart)
estimated at between 5 and 6 million have more serious drug habits, and may
spend $100-$500 dollars a week on purchasing their drugs. These two groups -
hard core users and casual users - spend approximately $60 billion dollars a
year, according to U.S. government estimates.
Imagine a typical weekend in New York City. Experts estimate that at least one
percent of the population - 80,000 plus - spends $200 on illicit drugs. That
alone would amount to $16 million dollars a week or $832 million a year. And
that's just New York.
All those drug sales mean that large amounts of cash accumulate in stash houses
and collection points around the country. For the multi-billion dollar
narcotics business - like any commodities business -- it is essential that the
suppliers and transporters be paid. That means the money must make its way
south, and the traffickers, aided by specialists in money laundering, have
devised myriad methods to insure the efficient and safe delivery of their
profits.
Estimates on how much money is sent south each year range from $10 to 30
billion. For Mexican traffickers along the Southwest border, the money is
literally driven across the border in bulk amounts and then deposited into
Mexican banks. "Steve," who was involved with the Mexican cartels in money laundering, explains this process.
For Colombians, the process is more complicated because dollars are not
negotiable in the Colombian economy due to currency controls. That, combined
with the fact that Colombia can only be reached by sea or air, has led to all
kinds of ingenious methods for repatriating their proceeds.
When the drug money ultimately makes its way into the foreign economy, it is
used to pay the salaries of shippers and processors, as well as the bribes that
supplement the incomes of government officials on both sides of the border.
Whole regions of Mexico, Colombia and points in between have become dependent
on the demand for drugs in the United States.
Large scale drug organizations such as the once powerful Cali cartel in
Colombia or the Mexican Arellano Felix brothers are said to resemble
corporate organizations with division of labor and huge cash reserves designed
to keep their operations moving smoothly.
What keeps the drug industry going is its huge profit margins. Producing drugs
is a very cheap process. Like any commodities business the closer you are to
the source the cheaper the product. Processed cocaine is available in Colombia
for $1500 dollars per kilo and sold on the streets of America for as much as
$66,000 a kilo (retail). Heroin costs $2,600/kilo in Pakistan, but can be sold
on the streets of America for $130,000/kilo (retail). And synthetics like
methamphetamine are often even cheaper to manufacture costing approximately
$300 to $500 per kilo to produce in clandestine labs in the US and abroad and
sold on US streets for up to $60,000/kilo (retail).
The C.I.A and other U.S.intelligence sources believe that synthetics like
amphetamines and designer drugs like Ecstasy will garner a larger and larger
share of the market in years to come.
No agriculture based commodities industry in the world operates on the same
price differentials as cocaine and heroin, while requiring relatively little in
the way of expertise.
"The average drug trafficking organization, meaning from Medellin to the
streets of New York, could afford to lose 90% of its profit and still be
profitable," says Robert Stutman, a former DEA Agent. "Now think of the
analogy. GM builds a million Chevrolets a year. Doesn't sell 900,000 of them
and still comes out profitable. That is a hell of a business, man. That is
the dope business."
Losses in the narcotics business through seizures or theft are rarely
catastrophic. The United Nations estimates that current drug interdiction
efforts intercept approximately 13% of heroin shipments and 28 to 40% of
cocaine shipments. It was because of the failure to stem the flow of product
that US officials started turning to tracking and seizing the money the
resulted from drug sales. In the last decade federal and state law enforcement
have seized over $8 billion in drug cash and assets.
"If a load of coke gets seized, they kick out more coke at fifteen hundred
dollars a kilo--cost," says former IRS investigator Michael McDonald.
"If you seize money, it's dollar for dollar. They're in business to make the
money."
Like any cash rich business, drug trafficking organizations invest in the
legitimate economy of their own country and use investment advisors in
financial instruments available in the international marketplace. "[For] the
bad guy, from the very beginning, there is an attempt of integration [of
illegitimate and legitimate money]." says DEA money-laundering expert Greg
Passic. "You don't have the Swiss bank account with a $110-200 million
bucks sitting in it. What you have is five, ten, 15 million dollars moving
around, acquiring assets or companies. So when you do go in and try to dissect
and pull the drug money out of it, it's hard because there's a lot of
legitimate money in there."
During the 1980's, while other Latin American nations faced major recessions,
the influx of billions of dollars in drug proceeds helped keep Colombia out of
trouble. It is difficult to say how much money came into the country. At least
6% of the economy is thought to be directly involved in narcotics business,
with a minimum of $5 billion in profits per year.
"From a pure economic sense, it's good for any country," says Passic. "But
after a while, what you create are systems that are outside of the formal
channels. You can't be taxed. You destroy jobs. I think there was the
realization that U.S. drug money actually was hurting Colombia's economy. It
was funding the extremist groups, the purchase of weapons and the other bad
things that go along with it."
In Mexico, it is harder to determine the exact percentage of drug money flowing
into the economy. Some regions like the rural areas around the city of Culiacan
in Sinaloa state have been primarily dependent on poppy and marijuana
production for decades. And resort areas have seen a sudden explosion in
construction and real estate prices when the drug economy is booming.
"I think it's very difficult to know because of that gray area of drug,
non-drug activities. It's not that clear-cut in many cases," says Mexican
scholar Jorge Castañeda. "There are regions of the country where the
drug economy really is central to the local economy. There are regions of the
country or times at which the drug economy is enormously important. To come up
with an overall estimate is very difficult because by definition this is all
untraceable." Castañeda also says that there was widespread corruption
in Mexico's dominant political party in the 20th century, the PRI.
Because of this, Mexican drug money often became intermingled with other types
of corruption money from privatization and bribes, making it difficult to sort
our which was which.
While the drug money may provide much needed influxes of capital to these
economies, experts now agree that over time the money can devastate legitimate
business and long term development. "A normal businessman, he needs money, he
needs capital and he's going to borrow that," says former State Department
official Jonathan Winer, "He's going to pay 6%, 8%, 10% [interest] on that
money. He's going to earn a profit on it to pay that back. But the drug
trafficker is happy to pay 6% or 8% or 10% loss, reverse interest, to have that
money laundered. So they have a competitive advantage over everybody. So they
go into a business--they can take that business over. And no one can compete."
While the US drug user may not intend to invest in this international
drug economy, every dollar spent purchasing those weekend escapes is ultimately
fueling a mammoth and destructive system that depends on our drug dollars to
survive. "That population of hard core users generates the funds," says former
IRS agent Mike McDonald. "They generate the dollars that go back to Mexico and
go back to Colombia. They generate those dollars that in Colombia and in
Mexico are turned into power, turned into extortion, turned into homicides,
turned into corrupting foreign governments, arms dealing, and expanding
criminal enterprises around the world."
Drug
|
1988
|
1990
|
1992
|
1994
|
1996
|
1998
|
Cocaine
|
76.9
|
61.3
|
49.4
|
42.2
|
41.3
|
39.0
|
Heroin
|
21.8
|
17.6
|
10.9
|
10.5
|
11.7
|
11.6
|
Marijuana
|
11.3
|
13.5
|
12.5
|
11.4
|
9.0
|
10.7
|
Methamphetamines
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
2.1
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
Other
Drugs
|
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
2.6
|
2.7
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
|
115.7
|
97.0
|
75.9
|
68.6
|
66.8
|
65.0
|
**
Source: Abt Associates Inc., What America's Users Spend on Illegal Drugs,
1988-98
Amounts are in constant 1998 dollars.
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